Check this out in New Yorker:
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/11/16/091116fa_fact_hersh
Defending the Arsenal
In an unstable Pakistan, can nuclear warheads be kept safe? by Seymour M. Hersh

My prediction is shared by the famous Seymour Hersch. Good thing is that our army is doing something about Pakistani rogue ISI and army. Right now, the operation in NW Pakistan (South Wazirstan) is only dealing with Taliban that got out of control and targeting Pakistan instead of US and India. They are not touching or they have no intention t o do anything about the Taliban and AQ living in Northern Wazirstan which target US and NATO. Just watch Fareed Zakaria GPS interview with Musharaf today (http://www.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/fareed.zakaria.gps/)

No matter what we do, there seems to be an internal stuggle going on within the army and ISI. Having observed this region for some time, I have a feeling that ISI and fundamentalist officers of army are being pushed to the limit and may take over the country overhrowing the generals who are responsive to US interests. They find the prevailing anti-US sentiment in the country supportive of their cause. We MUST be prepared for this adverse outcome. It is famously quoted often in south asia, there three As that control Pakistan, "Army, Allah and America", in that order. Now, Allah is joined by Army against America. We better be prepared.

My prediction: The present operation to clean up NW pakistan is simply dipersing the AQ and Taliban, so far hardly 100 bad guys have been killerd according to all the media reports from past few weeks. Then, where are the 10000 Taliban+AQ know to be there in NW Pakistan? They are probably moved (by Pakistani ISI) elsewhere (Punjab, Sindh or Kashmir). After putting on a show and occupation of NW and declare victory Pak-amry will collect our money. We are going to be left with the bad guys again.

We have to learn lessons from the past so we dont repeat the same mistakes again. Lesson #1. ISI and Pakistani army played double game. They are prime reason why we could not clean up A-Queda so far. My evidence: where did they catch top AQ leaders Abu Zobedah, Ramzi Binul Shib and Khalid Sheikh Mohammad, all in Pakistani military garrison safe houses. Thus, we CAN NOT trust pakistani army or ISI and we must not oursource the job to them fearing destabilizing nuclear Pakistan. Lessone#2. Destabilizing Pakistani has been our greatest fear that tied our hands and Pakistani army and ISI fully exploited this and used nuclear blackmail to survive and protect their interests (AQ and Taliban) with no fear of retaliation. We have to make sure that they understand that we are not going to hesitate one second to take them out if they protect AQ any more, even if it means Nuking them.