Good stuff, but there is a glaring omission. Why do commentators omit the crucial ingredients: Israel's nuclear armoury and Israel's refusal to sign the NPT agreement. In the 1990s, the Institute for Strategic Studies and other respected organisations calculated that Israel had more than 100 nuclear warheads. How can this equate with more teuous projections of Iran's future possesion of bombs? Both Iran and Iraq permitted inspection by the IAEa. In a very small minority that includes North Korea, Israel refused to sign the NPT.