Fight an election on the bill and what happens, if as is very likely, the opposition parties take a majority of the popular vote? The argument that Brexit is "The Will of the People" would be on very weak ground even if there was a Conservative majority in the HoC. If Brexit were to be pushed through in such circumstances it would be very difficult ever to reconcile Remainers and it would only last as long as the Conservative party remained in power. It would be much better to stick with the bill and accept whatever compromises are required to get it through rather than, eventually, lose it all.
An election would be an interesting gamble. A crude look at the polling suggests a big majority. But, a near wipe out in Scotland is inevitable and losses to the LibDems in Southern Remain constituencies also seem, at the very least highly likely. The polls could just be showing increased "wasted" votes either in safe or unwinnable seats. At best a big majority at worst another hung Parliament but with fewer Labour and more LibDem and SNP hard Remainers. The latter would not be a good outcome for Brexit.
If you want to understand what is happening, ask what Boris wants. The answer is blindingly obvious and it is that he wants to be PM; nothing else matters. If he tacks a confirmatory referendum onto what is in effect an Ireland only backstop he could well get it through Parliament. What happens in that referendum is anybody's guess but whichever way it goes Boris is still PM and can either soldier on as a minority government or go for an election whenever he can get the HoC to agree. It this ends with no Brexit the Leavers who put him in number ten can hardly have expected that they would be the only people in his career whom he hasn't betrayed, could they?
I used to hold my nose and vote Conservative because fiscal discipline is the only medium and long term basis for a sound economy. The last few years have shown a display of incompetence, irresponsibility and sheer dishonesty that I have rarely seen in business or politics in a quite long life. Good luck with being the UK Peronist party but I won't be voting for a Conservative ever again.
Rolls-Royce has now moved its engineering certification to Germany and is increasing its investment in RR Deutschland and Rolls-Royce Corp. (In the US). Capital investment in the auto industry has effectively stopped; ninety million won't even keep the factories operating. If the Conservative Party was determined to put the knife through the heart of British Engineering it couldn't be doing a better job.
"Has our party gone mad" - possibly not unless you define senility as madness which would be unkind.
This is playing out in exactly the same way as stories about Donald Trump's comments and behaviours. Those with a dim view of Boris will have their opinions confirmed, his fans will dismiss this as just Boris being Boris "nothing to see here move on". The reality is that Conservative party members would vote for a serial rapist if he would guarantee them their dream of a no-deal Brexit.
They are writing about a man who has twice been fired for dishonesty, who has betrayed everyone who trusted him politically, professionally and personally, who when challenged on his blatant lying in the referendum didn't attempt to defend himself but smirked like a naughty school boy. Nobody with any sense would trust the man and nobody with any sense of integrity would vote for him. I voted for Mel Stride at the last election and am very unlikely ever to vote Conservative again. If the members descend so far into the gutter as to elect Johnson that will be a very definite never.
The flaw in the demand for no-deal is that it assumes that it will be irrevocable. A very likely outcome could be that the result of a GE in 2020 or sooner is Labour as largest party but requiring support from LibDems and SNP to govern. That support may well be only forthcoming with someone other than Jeremy as PM and would certainly require ratification of the WA and either explicit or implicit membership of both the SM and CU. The result would be worse than remaining as the UK would simply be a kind of colony of the EU with no, or little voice. In the longer term demographics are against the Conservatives, people are no longer moving rightward as they get older probably because they are better educated. It doesn't matter how many battles Brexiteers win now, inevitably, ultimately they have lost.
Utterly ludicrous going for the brain-dead vote. All this prattling on about deals that the EU has consistently refused to contemplate and as for discussing with the national governments, hasn't she been paying attention? That this woman gets any support at all indicates that the Conservative party is a lost cause.
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