gdp's Comments

WMPoweruser.com : Fall Bing updates bring new features to the iPhone and Android, somehow leaves out Windows Phone 7!

Thu, 16 Dec 2010 07:34:52 +0000

"'This news, together with the previous one about the next big update for WP7 not coming until the fall of next year, has left me puzzled about Microsoft’s strategy when it comes to WP7." As soon as I came to that sentence, I thought to myself this must be written by the drama queen rush24 again. I scrolled up and voila! lol. I think you are drawing too much (and wrong) conclusion from Mary-Joe's article. MS has said a compelling update is coming very very soon. I highly doubt that they were talking about the SL and HTML5 update in August 2011.

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7 Marketplace hits 4,000 apps

Thu, 16 Dec 2010 04:19:28 +0000

Looks like they saw my post. Since then 85 new apps suddenly popped up. :D

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7 Marketplace hits 4,000 apps

Thu, 16 Dec 2010 00:42:00 +0000

There have been about 100 new apps every weekday for several weeks and it seems to have pretty much stopped growing this week. Is there some bottleneck in the app approval process or are we kind of done with the initial batch of apps that were in the pipeline?

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7 August update may bring HTML5 browser support

Wed, 15 Dec 2010 18:33:18 +0000

If the Feb update rumor was unfounded, MS would have come in and asked people to lower the expectaion. They didn't. Relax, this "compelling" or "massive" or "minor" or whatever you want to call it is happening.

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7 August update may bring HTML5 browser support

Wed, 15 Dec 2010 18:03:27 +0000

Wow can't believe so many are disappointed with this rumor. Guys, Silverlight runtime, HTML5 and east asian language support are huge. And we all knew asian language support was coming around that time. Her comment about Jan/Feb updates are just purely her speculation without any new info from someone. So was this "major" and "minor" characterization. Nothing has changed for the Jan/Feb updates. C&P, task switching, new 3rd party APIs, turn-by-turn nav(?), etc, are also very big IMO.

WMPoweruser.com : Can Microsoft be this clueless?

Tue, 14 Dec 2010 07:41:17 +0000

Ballmer already gave hints about possible upcoming WP7 based tablet in addition to this W7 solution. I'm guessing its timeframe is more like 2nd half of next year. It's not a one-device-fits-all world. MS is NOT overlooking the importance of tablet. They are just showing off what will be available from MS near term. W7 tablet doesn't restrict anyone from creating touch friendly apps for it like they do for ipad. They just need a good app launch touch layer that makes the device more user friendly. It will look very much like ipad or G Tab. Read the article. The only question is how thin it will be or what the battery life is like. Obviously they won't be as good as ARM based tablets but since W7 (with perhaps flip/slideout keyboard) can do so much more than ipad, people will weigh the tradeoffs.

WMPoweruser.com : Can Microsoft be this clueless?

Tue, 14 Dec 2010 06:48:28 +0000

"Why is Microsoft that obstinate about not letting WP7 be scaled up to the tablet?" And you figured that out by reading the NYT piece? You are acting like a drama queen again. W7 is fine as touch UI as long as you are not trying to do everything that a mouse & keyboard allow you to do in which case you whip out that slideout keyboard. I understand some people might prefer a simpler layer and MS is providing it. Battery life will be the key. Will be interesting to see how good the Oak Trail is.

WMPoweruser.com : Musings on the sales numbers for WP7 and the bright future ahead

Mon, 13 Dec 2010 21:06:05 +0000

FWIW, if you model after the Android attachment ratio which is about 4:1, you get 185K/0.25 = 740K.

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7–180,000 Facebook users, 3800 apps

Sat, 11 Dec 2010 06:52:21 +0000

Yeah I think 6:1 is a little too much since, like I noted earlier, the daily actives are noticeably higher portion of the monthly actives than for Android and RIM. That tells me the FB daily actives are more common to WP7. I don't know if that's because materially more daily FB users are drawn to WP7 or because the built-in feature just makes it seem so. Just for fun, if I were to assume the *monthly* active to device user ratio to be same for all OS's (still a big if) and work the numbers backwards, I get 5.2:1 ratio to apply to the daily actives of WP7. That is, we have 140K*5.2 = 728K WP7 phones active.

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7–180,000 Facebook users, 3800 apps

Sat, 11 Dec 2010 01:48:43 +0000

I'm aware the number you had is the monthly active user count. I just picked the daily active users number becaues that's what FB used. i.e. The 6:1 ratio applies to the daily active user count. Even though there's built in FB app, I don't think it counts toward the daily stat if you don't have a FB account which is true for 2/3 of people out there according to FB. So there's at least a factor of 3 right there. Now, if you do have a FB account on your WP7, does the fact there's a built-in FB app automatically count you as a daily active user even though you don't use FB all that often? The answer seems to be no because if it does, the daily and monthy active user count should be the same which is not the case here. Daily is 140K, monthly is 180K. However, compared to Android and RIM, the delta between daily and monthly for WP7 seems to somewhat low. For Android and RIM, there's a 50% jump from daily to monthly whle you see only a 29% jump for WP7. I'm guessing WP7's built-in app makes people use FB more often. BTW, just to clarify for those confused, FB reports daily, weekly and monthly "active" user count for each app. Daily active just means a user uses FB on daily basis. Monthly means at least once in past 30 days. Each user must login to FB and use its features to be counted.

WMPoweruser.com : Windows Phone 7–180,000 Facebook users, 3800 apps

Sat, 11 Dec 2010 00:27:19 +0000

1. FB said 1/3 people online uses FB. Out of those, 1/2 uses FB daily. That makes it 6:1 ratio total. 2. There's 5:1 or 6:1 ratio between # of Android users and # of "Daily Active Users" of Android FB app. 3. Similar ratio can be found for RIM. iOS number is a little harder to read probably due to Touch and iPad. WP7 FB daily active user is currently 140K. Do the math.

WMPoweruser.com : The state of Windows Phone 7 – more than 140,000 users, 3300 apps

Sat, 4 Dec 2010 03:43:20 +0000

This will be my last post here. I like the news gathering aspect of this site but this kind of "analysis" is beyond comprehension. I'm done with this site. Regarding the FB number, you need to multiply it by at least 3 to get the WP7 sales number. Why? Look at Android and iphone FB app stats. There's about 3:1 ratio between phone user base and FB app user base. As far as the "only 5000 more since last week" goes, both Android and iphone charts below also show things have flattened out for past few days. Apparently everyone stopped buying anything after the Thanksgiving holiday. (Not true). Although the overall trend is a useful one, I wouldn't make a big deal out of date-to-date numbers. You can see some numbers didn't change at all past few days. Zero change. That's impossible. That's how accurate that number is. http://statistics.allfacebook.com/applications/si... http://statistics.allfacebook.com/applications/si... http://statistics.allfacebook.com/applications/si...

WMPoweruser.com : Dell Venue Pro dazzling in Dell promotional video

Fri, 3 Dec 2010 04:31:35 +0000

I hope so. If they did, people will jump all over on this device. May even outsell HD7 which would be an amazing feat since non-keyboard devices tend to be more popular.

WMPoweruser.com : HTC takes blame for Spanish-hating HTC HD7, will fix it soon

Fri, 3 Dec 2010 03:46:58 +0000

Why does the fix have to take so long? MS should make it such that language packs can be added and deleted at any time using the Zune software. RIM did this fine.

WMPoweruser.com : HTC confirms no Asian language support in Windows Phone 7 until H2 2011

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 12:27:26 +0000

Yes, if I remember correctly, you can read them fine, say if you visit a chinese web site. It's just the input method. I remember it took a long time for iphone too. I believe ipad got it only recently as well.

WMPoweruser.com : HTC confirms no Asian language support in Windows Phone 7 until H2 2011

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 11:36:11 +0000

I was hoping for the east asia launch by Q2 but it sounds like it will take a bit longer. Oh well. But it's great to hear another OEM/carrier saying the early sales look promising! So much for the theory of 120K units sold huh?

WMPoweruser.com : Morgan Stanley re-iterates 28 million Windows Phone 7 2011 target

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 07:32:48 +0000

Well, I think the source was none other than Surur of this site. That's pretty sad because it doesn't take much thought or investigation to realize that you can't assume 1:1 mapping between phone sales and FB user count. Not even close.

WMPoweruser.com : Dell Venue Pro, ever cheaper, now only $99 and shipping in a week

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 06:33:09 +0000

3G won't work. Their 3G frequencies are different and I don't think DVP supports both.

WMPoweruser.com : Morgan Stanley re-iterates 28 million Windows Phone 7 2011 target

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 05:46:41 +0000

Absolutely, but I'd add more languages and countries to the to-do list. They currently have no coverage for the far east asian market which is huge.

WMPoweruser.com : Morgan Stanley re-iterates 28 million Windows Phone 7 2011 target

Thu, 2 Dec 2010 01:05:46 +0000

10% for the year is a decent target but by the end of 2011, I hope WP7's monthly share will have grown above 15%. That sets up a target of >30% share two years from now and possibly be the #1 selling OS. I am not being too optimistic, am I? :)